Friday, February 16, 2018

CONFLUENCE Strategy Applied: Weak USD Strong JPY Weak PHP

Translating into a Triangular Arbitrage
  

Not surprising the #USD #DXY marks below 88.40 basis point and is trading at 88.90 pullback mode; while #USDJPY hits its low at 105.52 initial objective has now been validated from our price call last Feb 14, 2018. Where a session bounce could well be expected for the USD which have been in search of a reasonable catalyst for a probable lift which is what it's doing right now on a correction, but not necessarily for the USDJPY as it is now at 106.07.

This is the 2nd retest for the USD below the 88.40 level apparently coinciding with the USDJPY at 105.52. Some fresh speculative trade will emerge on the USD as US equities are getting accustomed to the inflation figures and interest hikes. Meanwhile, both the VIX and US Bonds / Treasury yields have given a positive signal justifying a lift for the major indices to stay in a positive tone. With triple digit gains into the session #DOW at 25420, #SP at 2753 and #NASDAQ at 7300 to this writing, it get better overtime.

Meanwhile, USDPHP has indeed pushed through the 52.00 figure trading at 52.20 swinging in both directions for the session with a range of 52.39 high and a low at 52.01 respectively. Thus the 'CONFLUENCE' Strategy between the USDJPY & USDPHP & JPYPHP Triple Cross as MegaTrade101 defines the strategy comes to no surprise either.

Without its complexity; it is better known for professional traders and hedge funds as the 'TRIANGULAR ARBITRAGE'. Its a process that needs a clearer understanding of how it works in the interbank market. Which as we say could be approach in its simplest form for OFWs could take advantage of or even retail / main-street investors.

The JPYPHP Cross is currently at 0.4909 equivalent to PHP49.09 guiding rate for the foreign exchange rate with a high at 0.4918 and a low at 0.4904 as of now. A testing ground for new record highs is not discounted at this time.

The JPYPHP cross rate is not traded in the regular retail FX market. But rather this is a sound advice which MegaTrade101 made mention in its recently published market outlook for OFWs in Japan to take notice for their own savings and investment ideas which they themselves can do with this knowledge. This goes the same with the Swiss Franc cross with the Philippine Peso. 


Sounds Good Right! Especially for PH families receiving hard earned funds from OFWs in both countries. This is how you know how money can work for you when done right in the first place. This is how money changers make their money from through the exchange rate. 

Knowing how to manage and take advantage of the spread can improve everyone's financial literacy. Likewise this is our way of contributing more while sharing what is already a proven global practice.


Reference Analysis & Resource:




1 comment:

  1. Take NOTE: BANKS holds NOT only the USD but hold other foreign currencies as well. Especially banks with over the counter remittances, and outlets where they make money NOT only from the spreads in the exchange rate, but also from fees charged to their clients.

    No wonder majority of their profits not only come from these earning from the exchange rate (majority it does) but also from revenues generated from the loans and interest rates charged to their clients.

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