Friday, December 2, 2016

Divergent Asia Carry Over into Next 3 Months of 2017

The corrective move higher by the PSEI near the 6950 is merely a reflection and immediate market reaction of OIL prices recovery due to OPEC production cut.

For now any price recovery would be temporary and no significant fundamental changes on market sentiments that would end the year in a negative tone for the PH stocks & the PHP local currency. The retest back to the 8100 last July 2016 have failed to go beyond the 8136 high marked in April 2015; which lost its steam that started a declining market. It would be quite difficult to conceive a full recovery especially nearing the closing of the year.


With that said, any price recovery that would be made in both markets would only be temporary relief; while the negative sentiments would be a carry over and will be reflected at the first three months of the coming year. For now, even the technical perspective of these markets does not show any significant possibility of a price reversal in the making. 

Expect a continuing 'Divergent Trend' not only in price difference but the inclusive direction of higher prices of commodities that would further create inflationary pressure by the middle of 2017.  And a continuing depletion of FDI from the PH stock market due to the general trend on Emerging markets direction.

1 comment:

  1. The recent low on the PSEI @7186 just shows how well the Divergent Trend is still in effect. The roller coaster ride has had a significant effect on Holdings as FDI withdrawals has continued on liquidation. Outflows of funds dominant in the market as Foreign selling orders are reflected during the past few days.

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