Monday, March 6, 2017

Market Reacts on Increase Rate Hike Certainty - #USD Resilient

With the recent testimony of Chair J Yellen and positive insights from #FED's policy makers the certainty of a rate hike have reflected in today's soft market initial opening with the e-mini #DOW, #SP500 and #Nasdaq futures declining into negative territory. However, it had been expected that such risk appetite would be seen with the US markets drawing some breathing room from their respective record levels for the past weeks.

With that said, this initial decline has been supportive of the USD - DXY as it moves above the 101.60 basis point and a move lower from its European counterparts with the single currency trading below the 1.0600 #EURO level with #CABLE below 1.2300. The trend direction for both majors have been well within their respective trends established for quite sometime in spite of the relief recovery that they have made when the USD declined back lower below the 100 mark.

With China's growth outlook cut in spite of its optimistic interview of a positive #GDP, JPMorgan's may have some doubts if recent  #China can really achieve its 6.5% target growth. Yet, China's cash outflow and on top of the Chinese #Yuan value trading at 6.90 in one session would still move towards a devaluation even if China would not officially say so. This is our view for now as the market reflects with the USD value continue to rise at the current market conditions.

Nikkei 225 Average As of March 06, 2017 

On the other side, Asian geopolitical woes as greater risk is building up with North Korea action back in the political limelight. As tensions builds neighboring stocks were mixed with the #Nikkei 225 average was slightly lower with a -0.46% at 19379 closing, while initially aiming its levels near the 20k mark. Meanwhile with the #USDJPY trading at 113.55 handle, once a turn around takes place then and only then would this target level can be achieved in line with the NI225. All told a real balance of stock moves and currency value adjustments being made as the market draws closer and getting ready for the FED's much anticipated move.    

3 comments:

  1. On the Tech Angle: A Cluster of bars forming an island after opening with a limited gap point indicates the corrective phase have started. And the probability of a continuation higher can only be justified whenever the next opening & closing price of a completed pattern would be on the higher band.

    Otherwise a market tweezer / squeeze and a negative (-)reverse spike closing lower can occur at the end of the trading week's session. The market behavior needs to be monitored closely as profit-taking may overshadow new market entries.

    ReplyDelete
  2. The Technical Angle Perspective refers to the #DOW & SP500 indices. The ability to apply the right tools of the trade takes longer to master. Yet, a lot of self-proclaimed market gurus would state otherwise and show how easy it is to trade stocks & the Foreign Exchange market.

    As chart creation can be made with a click of the mouse yet traders fail to accept that there is no one size fits all in trading volatile markets. If so then a majority of investors would have won by now, but it isn't so! Respect the market and apply what is appropriate especially during certain market conditions.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The ability to apply the right tools of the trade takes longer to master. Yet, a lot of self-proclaimed market gurus would state otherwise and show how easy it is to trade stocks & the Foreign Exchange market. As chart creation can be made with a click of the mouse yet, traders fail to accept that there is no one size fits all in trading volatile markets.

    If so then a majority of investors would have won by now, but it isn't so! Respect the market and apply what is appropriate especially during certain market conditions.

    ReplyDelete