Monday, January 23, 2012

Market Analysis for week 1.23

The highlights would weigh more on investors risk appetite and market sentiments on the US Dollar that would likewise be based on the coming 4th qtr. GDP report or even a mere hint of the Federal Reserve QE3 may really be a game changer for the Forex market.
EURUSD 01.23
The recent relief rally of the EURUSD last week from an impending debt crisis has dissipated for now until such time a more definitive answer for a solution is made. And this may find some pressure for the USD to continue its trend higher for the time being as evidence from its corrective downtrend. The higher opening price has provided room for the correction to continue in the European session.
However, after registering an 81.78bp high, the USDX has drifted lower to 80.00 and is confined to its lower support at 80.31 as of this writing. The critical price to watch for would be the 78.85-80.05 trading range and the shift in market sentiments are the key considerations moving forward.
Meanwhile, the Euro has enjoyed for now the decline of the USD in lieu of the dissiminating reports from the Euro zone. It is currently at the 1.2931 in the European opening showing signs of relief alongside the EURGBP cross rate still above its pivotal price at 0.8329 that a 2nd attempt is being set-up. Do expect a wider swing at the start of the trading week with some daily pullbacks from the daily highs. The earlier signs of this corrective move higher were ever present even before when the opening price gap occurred for the second time on January 15, 2012. Again, two considerations could be interpreted as an exhaustion gap or a second attempt for a run away which obviously didn't occur the following couple of trading days.
Please take note that the price behavior would never show when exactly such a price reversal would occur but can provide the insights only for those who has the due diligence of carefully studying the market from a series of events taking place and not merely on a per set-up basis. That is also why MegaTrade101 form of market analysis presentation is based on a continuing market condition as they occur quite different from others.
The complete report including AUDUSD & CHFJPY CROSS analysis at http://www.megatrade101.com/

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