Sunday, January 31, 2016

Validated Cross Rates - Declassified

Taking a Cue from Volatility
This is in reference to our recently Declassified Market Call and analysis on the Crosses. The basis on market position was based on the trade outlook on the Aussie Dollar v. Cable (AUDGBP), Aussie Dollar v. Euro are the currency pairs that has the highest probability of market potential.

The charts on the crosses shows the validity of the trades done as a confirmation support to our recent market call dated the 11th of January 2016 - CCY Corner EURO CABLE & Cross Rates. Size do matter in rapid price turns on short notices.

Validated Cross Rates - Declassified

Saturday, January 30, 2016

The Aftermath of Market Volatility

The Case of Setting New Highs & Lows 2: At the beginning of a new trading year in the new month of January; our opening market analysis dated the 1st of January 2016, have gained credence as prices have marked their respective levels by the week ending the 29th of January 2016

@megatrade101, we would like to share this valuable price action analysis as a matter of information sharing that has worked well under this current market conditions. Being able to choose the right currency cross compared with their correlated majors has to undergo a certain process of deduction that has defined trade consistency, risk management and most importantly is TIMING trade entry /exit at the appropriate market session within the three major time zone.

The Aftermath of Market Volatility

Friday, January 29, 2016

ADVISORY: As Tactical Trader/ Investors


Awareness of risk events that can change market conditions before and after release of certain data is widely expected. In such cases, the main responsibility of looking forward towards price swings can be anticipated with a certain degree based on previous price levels and the process of deduction. Money flows as investors shifts, go where the trend flows so when time comes that it does change directions, then there will be ample time to make changes even on real time.

Although, the practice of forward looking should be done more often, while the use of a back-testing system can be limited only as a reference guide. Closely monitoring price action and market behavior as a basis can be more effective even before any price move occurs.

Yes, we know its easier said than done. Due diligence can only help build that trading confidence and consistency especially noting all trades in a journal for further reference when called upon.  

Benefits of a Mentor / Trading Partner 



IT'S THE MARKET THAT PAYS MEGATRADE101 CLIENT / INVESTORS TRAINING WHILE BUILDING TRADING CONFIDENCE & CONSISTENCY. (NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND)

Thursday, January 28, 2016

EURJPY Cross VALIDATED as of 01.29.16 Asia Session

Japan CPI data provided speculation on BOJ easing which pushed USDJPY high @121.40 level, and spilled-over to the EURJPY Cross rate @132.26 high in the Asian trading session. This has led to the BOJ rate cut into a negative 0.1%. 

This
VALIDATES @megatrade101 MARKET CALL on EURJPY Cross rate with a trade position dated the 25th of January 2016, @128.30.  With the price break above the 118.80 equivalent USDJPY after the release of the CPI data and the sustaining levels with the EURUSD above the 1.0880 -1.0910 fueled by weight on more speculative actions by trades for more probable BOJ easing which added to the rapid price swing and pullback during the Asian session. Closing price levels for the week is closely monitored. As these price movements is a glimpse of the market's direction that would set the pace at the start of the new month's activity.

Reference to Market Call: EURJPY Comparative Analysis dated 01.25.16

REWIND & UPDATE: S&P500 Inverse Relation - An Alternative Strategy

The mirror image of the SP500 says it all, and still in the making! It really boils down to the matter of market perspective. Just one of the better alternatives that a 'tactical investor' can consider when called upon.

...Are we there yet?

Chart as of Jan 28, 2015

UPDATE: As of Feb 09, 2016 

 Yes, Price Action Validates this call Going long to go short SP500 as an " Alternative Strategy". It took 2 weeks in the making from Jan 28 to Feb 09, 2016  SH CHART Update  

NOTE: NEVER UNDER-ESTIMATE A WELL INFORMED PROBABILITY

Not Just Forex US DOW S&P USD + ASIA

Stock markets is indeed on a roller coaster ride with price swings on both directions. Taking a cue in their respective oversold conditions; the snap-back into higher levels have given day traders one hell of a ride, of course. Other investors and traders would have to think otherwise what reflects behind such actions.

ATTENTION: The relevant technical tools applied in the succeeding charts are powered by Trading View for relating pertinent information  & proper presentations. As market conditions vary from time to time; thus major changes to certain tools of the trade and its applications are made. What is important is to know which among these tools are suitable and when to use them for certain market conditions, as there are no one size fits all. Full disclaimer applies.

Link: Not Just Forex: DOW S&P USD EPHE NK225 & JPY  

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

CCY Corner: EURJPY CROSS RATE Comparative Analysis

With that out of the way, the EURJPY cross correlated to the Japanese Yen's price movement have likewise shown some relative support zone @125.85 low and a price recovery currently @128.47 marks a correlated Yen weakness compared with the USD maintaining strength well supported not only by its price, but by some encouraging figures from housing prices data and US Consumer Confidence #'s. The USD direction would have some momentum and increase volatility by the next GDP data for the week.

The price action pullback of the EURJPY from its 125.80 low can no be a confirmation of its benchmark support. Quite a significant move and a divergent comparison with the EURO is well justified. Marking the low price of the EURUSD @1.0580 as the first bottom price based on the current chart. However, the current configuration of the EURUSD well within a descending channel from it high @1.1048 price zone was a result of the ECB disappointing the market of its inaction on rates.

Monday, January 25, 2016

A Matter of Perspective Analysis

Two Leonardos' in one Applied Analysis
RAISE the BAR of
TRADING CONFIDENCE
In our recent information posted  the recent rapid upsurge has been short-lived with the Asian markets resumes its decline in triple digit territory today. The presence of secular forces are still dominant in the market, which traders should be aware that this markets are not technically motivated but whenever they are expect it to be a temporary condition. 

Yes, prices were technically oversold but a few percentage point recovery will not cut it. Use price levels as reference points while going beyond price action analysis can do more good in timing a trade more than ever.  This is where the underlying time and price correlation takes place within the three major markets price movements are equally as important to take note of. "CORRELATION" is the key component in these market conditions now. It is a matter of perspective to differentiate technical and fundamental analysis combined with Price Action and Market Behavior. Trading these markets is a "NO ONE SIZE FITS ALL'.

Here is a good reference presented. Just take the finer price points!
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-charts-show-why-investors-should-be-worried-135749194.html 

Sunday, January 24, 2016

RAISE the BAR of TRADING CONFIDENCE

The Right Trading &
Information Resource

info@megatrade101.com
With the kind of market volatility, the level of trading confidence would have to be way above par to maintain net positive trade results & the right level of trade consistency. Raising the bar of trading confidence takes real serious 'Self-Due Diligence' to arrive at a well informed trading decision. And not simply hanging on a thread. With the Right Information and properly timed trade execution can only deliver the right results. 
Watch for the upcoming seven (7) series of information analysis on how to measure up investors level of trading confidence that would reflect on every trade execution that would be adaptable with the kind of market conditions nowadays. 
Never Hang-on a Thread.

Friday, January 22, 2016

DAVOS FORUM - The Right Trading & Information Resource

WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM - Assess Market Statements, & Take Best Analysis. Great Resource Interviews.


Providing a glimpse of how the current market conditions affects the global economy. Comparative analysis on conditions from the 2008 root cause of the crisis in US Subprime; while current conditions entering the 2016 trading year had a lot to do with OIL prices / oversupply, China deflation, debt and recent devaluation of its exchange rates. 

Congrats BLOOMBERG Well Done!

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Step Up into the Plate & Hit a Home Run. But...



A  Tug of War between Bulls & Bears @MegaTrade101.com

@PSE_Index close @6084  A stone's throw away @5989 Oct 2015 kick-off point. Two days to go before week's closing into another bearish tone. Bears are playing dodgeball in the market place. 

Market Recall: http://www.megatrade101.com/index.php/home/perspective/850-pse-index-v-ephe-ishares-msci-etf-v-dow

BRIEF: Market Insight Before ECB

As the market prepares for ECB Mario Draghi's much awaited remarks in the European markets for the ECB rate decision. While in the Asian session heading towards the major session in Europe and the US have turned again into bear territory after starting off with a relief recovery.

New Lows not only in the DOW & SP500 and the other global indices; the currency market has indeed came through with CABLE marking three consecutive new lows with the latest @1.4125. Meanwhile, its correlated EURGBP Cross rates have also marked its new High @0.7755 before making a pullback @0.7650 reflecting some profit taking for the day. This has been an effective well worth the risk analysis which we have made to this date. But a cautious play should be observe as the ECB rate is on hand. However, its the remarks of Mario Draghi that may trigger a different tone moving forward.

BTW - These exceptional moves and market conditions are best approached going beyond charting systems and price action analysis. 'Secular Market Forces' have been present for some time now from our countless information sharing emphasizing due diligence on market behavior. Tools of technical trades are effective but not as effective during these kind of market movements. Take the extra caution in trading the market. Only the best for your trades!

EURGBP CROSS RATE: https://dwq4do82y8xi7.cloudfront.net/x/ESdFFXNW/

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

SP500 V SP SH Flip-side of the Coin

SP500 bound to test Oct starting point as initial first line of defense that may create a 'Hysteria Market' as the Asia global shares have made. As percentage declines spread over time since October 2015 to January 2016 have weighed a top heavy on a tech perspective. This is were fundamental forces have been dominant in the market's behavior

@MegaTrade101 SP500 v SH is a Flip-Side of the coin; unorthodox approach yet quite effective at times and out of the ordinary. And this approach be be classified as looking at the charts in a different perspective from the traditional way of technical analysis

Cautious as it may seem for traders not willing or simply unable to do anything now as the negative contagion on stocks and Oil other than China. JPN225 have now been included in the decline during the Asian trading session.

Friday, January 15, 2016

Sharing Market Insight: Investors keeping track of investments

DJIA As of Jan 15, 2016
Should investors be worried about the major declines in their respective investment portfolio? The answer is a resounding "yes" and what should be done about it. The fact is, that 'Value in stocks and currency holdings' have been lost in the first two weeks of January 2016 alone. And in particular, the DOW has reached the 15842 low which has made a full run back to where it started from before trading higher. Now it has become an initial support on this levels and a price range consolidation would be expected before any directional movement would be made.

And its is certainly not a joking matter to see that investors gains from the previous years deteriorate at these current levels. Encouraging investors to be more 'Tactical' with their investments, and keep in place strategies to preserve their wealth and investment portfolio. Please refer to Alternative  Strategies on Hedging in the Financial Markets.

UPDATE: Comparative Analysis 2 #DOW & #USD INDEX



CCY Corner: Divergent Trend on EURO & CABLE 2

The aftermath on the stock market rebound is still seen as a relief price recovery of the market after several declines were seen. Which was obviously felt by investors in the first two weeks of trading for 2016. This has given some headway for the currency market to make its own moves as prices continue its trend movements today.

Therefore choosing the 'Right Currency Cross rate' was made based on the divergent trend of price and market behavior of the two pairs that led to combination them into one trade with a fairly larger exposure. However this trade is well  defined into its process and has a limited time frame based on the price comparison / directional difference including the market's behavior and price change.

EURGBP Cross Rate OVERLAY
CCY Corner: Divergent Trend on EURO & CABLE

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

CCY Corner: On EURO CABLE & Cross Rates

With the disappointing data in UK, we've seen CABLE making another new low (3rd of a series) which built up the momentum & declined to its price objective @1.4350 levels before pulling back up on the close of the US session @1.4445. For now, the 1.4350 has been marked as a good initial support level for GBPUSD.

An expected relief price recovery is expected while Asia session today have seen CABLE trading @1.4490. The decline effectively flowed to the correlated EURGBP Cross where it made a brief session high @0.7554 that likewise made a similar pullback to its current price @0.7480 to this writing.

Click here for a complete analysis.


Monday, January 11, 2016

ATTENTION: TO ALL MEGATRADE101 VALUED VIEWERS


ATTENTION & WARNING: 


@MegaTrade101 has blocked a Twitter  account named @megatrade10e1 as a clear violation to our brand, content and intellectual property rights. Please. be guided accordingly!

There can only be one MegaTrade101.com 


THANK YOU SO MUCH!

PSEi v. EPHE Comparative Outlook

The chart and price analysis of the PSE Index & EPHE (ISHARES MSCI PH ETF) has provided a significant turn signal of the market as indicated with its historical performance since 2014. The critical price range highlighted was within the 7500 - 7000 levels was well in line with the Dow Jones range levels @17500 and 17000 (not included) but well made a mark in the market price correlation. Some due diligence required. 

News reports after the sell-off justifies the culminating results of the contagion effects of outflows from foreign investors where a total of USD 13.5M within a 6 weeks period. Current prices are trading @15.6X project 1 year earnings.

The start of the year's global stock performance is not what everyone has expected. And have turned negative sentiments among global investors. Especially with a huge outflow of foreign investments not only in the Philippines but including China outflow which has grown of USD 90B not including the new entry for the new year 2016.

In-depth Outlook: PSEI - EPHE - DJIA 

Sunday, January 10, 2016

Volatility Translates to a 'MAKE or BREAK' Trade

Traders and investors would have to deal with two important trading issues taking place. One is the market price volatility that changes unexpectedly when one least expects. That in turn gives not a lot of traders the level of confidence and increases the degree of trading difficulty in the market.

Secondly, with the increase in price volatility price movements equates to wider trading range in both directions. Thus making it more difficult to find timely execution of trade position. Superior positioning may well be disguised in non-active price action between trading session in the three major markets. But the traps of price pullbacks and resumption of original price trend may take the unsuspecting trader flatfooted.

Volatility Translates to 'MAKE or BREAK' Trade

Thursday, January 7, 2016

PRICE ACTION & BEHAVIORAL ANALYSIS - NEW HIGHS & LOWS 2

VIDEO SUPPORT ON MARKET INSIGHT
(Before & After the Fact)


Being a step ahead of the market can be fortunate especially when external forces comes on the right side of your trades. Although, it does not happen all the time!


Stretching the USD Rate Vs. PHP

OFWs should at least consider checking the graph tor the USD Direction versus the Philippine Peso Exchange rate. Expect some room for a USD initial pullback but eventually would continue to improve as the rate would likely resume to the upside. Stretching the rate can be great in planning your investment and prospective projects ahead relative to the exchange rate value. Far better than stocks as of now and stay liquid with cash on hand. 

The Business in Making the Right Trading & Investment Decisions


Wednesday, January 6, 2016

UPDATE: CFDs US DOW30 & SH SP500

@megatrade101, we can't do much more than to simply emphasize that whenever there are exceptional times like these market movements, HEDGING STRATEGY becomes a necessity to simply protect and  provide a layer of cushion for investment funds exposed in the market. Likewise, it can create a sustaining strategy to preserve wealth and manage risk as the market trend at the beginning of the year is No Joke! And this is more for ASIAN Investors / traders in particular. As prices move lower their jaws drop in amazement and awe!

That is also why we have released an earlier market outlook, though it may be a "Brief Insight for the 1st Quarter of 2016; it was a primary signal that new highs and lows can be reflected of the first week's trading activity. And the fundamentals were the catalyst to provide the fuel for the current market conditions.

As of 01/06/2016

UPDATE: CFDs & ETF as Alternative Strategies to cover Risk in STOCKS & CCY Market

An actual Hedge strategy results using US Dow30 / SH_SP CFDs & UUP_USD ETFs from Dec 10' 2015 carry-over trade positions for the overall portfolio that can create greater value which would cover the gains made and risk management for the total amount invested in the market.

US DOW30 CFD Overlay SH_SP500 



USD INDEX Overlay UUP DB ETF Carry Over Trade Position


An effective analysis still in place 

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Investors Reality Check On Stocks & Currency Markets

Most retail stock picker investors that trade individual stock sectors would have no interest to carry an expensive Hedge strategy on top of their existing position even when major international stocks have made triple digit declines.

Although, individual stock picks vs. Beta Hedge to produce Alpha in Overall portfolio can create greater value for the amount invested in the market. But sometimes investor complacency that only pays attention to stock prices would have to go an extra mile beyond simply looking at disclosures and P/E ratio.

Investors Reality Check on Stocks & Currency Markets


Monday, January 4, 2016

Market Rewind:Validates Market call on DOW & SP500 HEDGE STRATEGY

Due Diligence Pays Off: Today's 1st trading day with the Market move Validates Market call on DOW & SP500 HEDGE STRATEGY in place by protecting gains made dated 10th of Dec'2015.

More information on part 2 of this analysis to follow by the end of the week's trading activity; where prices would end at the closing for the week.


MT101 - HEDGE STRATEGY: US DOW & SP500 CFDs / ETF


Market Insight: DXY GBP EUR Cross Rates - JPY & JPN225

The start of Asian session for stocks didn't fair out well as the JPN225 decline to its low @18430 as of this writing. Indirectly due to investors staying away from risky assets and relative to the Middle-East tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The contagion in Asia is wide spread as the weak economic data from China led a similar drop in the HSI. 

The market situation have initially lifted the USD trade weighted index at the Asian session, in contrast with the USDJPY which gained strength @119.65. For a complete analysis & insight, click on the link below.
Market Insight: DXY GBP EUR Cross Rates - JPY & JPN225 

The Business of 'Making the Right Trading Decisions' for 2016 and Beyond!
"A similar market situation can be made or created within the new trading year and  an overlaying new contract month which at most times can define or establish a new "high or low" simply based on the weeks and months traded.".
by Alexander dated January 01, 2016

Friday, January 1, 2016

Brief Insight for 1st Quarter 2016

A similar market situation can be made or created with the new trading year and overlaying new contract month which at times can define or establish a new "high or low" simply based on the week and months traded. This is what we likewise impart with our training as traders need to know and go beyond simplified charting systems currently being used even with the best platforms in the market. 

As for the DJIA 2015 registered performance have generated a loss of 2.2% since 2008. While the Nasdaq ended with a gain of 5.7%. And the S&P 500 index, regarded as a benchmark indicator for the stock market, lost 0.7 percent for the year. For a complete report click on the link below.

Brief Insight for 1st Quarter 2016